CRAIG LEWIS looks ahead to the Super Rugby quarter-final in Christchurch on Saturday.
CRUSADERS vs SHARKS, Christchurch, Saturday, 9:35am
Earlier this week, SARugbymag.co.za highlighted the ‘miracle’ odds that the Sharks would need to overcome if they hoped to emerge as the first South African side to win a playoff game in New Zealand.
The Sharks will know that they have already been widely written off, and it’s perfectly understandable when one considers that the reigning champions Crusaders have won 31 out of 34 matches in the past two years, while tallying 27 log points more than the Durban-based side over the course of the regular season.
So, is there any point in South African fans turning on the telly to watch the Sharks head into battle on Saturday?
Well, those who love an underdog story will point to the recent exploits of South African tennis star Kevin Anderson as he overcame enormous odds to beat Roger Federer on the way to the Wimbledon final.
Most would suggest that a Sharks win in Christchurch would be even more remarkable, although one can’t forget that the Durbanites did pull off a historic win back in 2014 despite being reduced to 14 men.
Traditionally, there is certainly something about the culture of the Sharks that has often seen them perform best when they’re able to play without any weight of expectation. In short, they relish the underdog tag.
This sort of fighting spirit was in evidence just earlier this season when the Sharks headed over to New Zealand after suffering back-to-back losses in Australia, which included a 46-14 hammering at the hands of the Rebels.
Instead of capitulating, the Sharks threw off the shackles to bash the Blues 63-40, before outplaying the Hurricanes in every department except the scoreboard (a late try saw them suffer an agonising one-point defeat).
Of course, the Crusaders are a different prospect altogether. The eight-time champions are a side that boast precision, power and relentless phase play. Packed with All Blacks (12 are in their starting lineup), they are a team that have the quality to quite conceivably knock over some Test sides.
All in all, the challenge facing the Sharks cannot be overstated, but with a competition-high tackle success rate of 85.5% and a solid set piece, they will be hoping to disrupt and frustrate a Crusaders team that thrives off clean ball.
The season’s statistics show that the Saders have scored a whopping 34 tries from first-phase play, and as many as 20 in the opening quarter, so the Sharks will know that they cannot afford to be blown out of the water early on.
If the South Africans are to have any hope of an upset, they will need to scrap and tackle as if their lives depend on it, but it’s really only a one-eyed optimist who would suggest that they can see anything other than a comfortable win for the Crusaders on Saturday.
Stats and facts
- The Crusaders have won 17 of their last 21 games against the Sharks, including each of their three previous meetings in the playoffs.
- The Crusaders have won their last 16 games on the bounce when hosting teams from outside New Zealand. The last time they lost such a fixture was in the opening round of the 2015 campaign against the Rebels.
- No South African team has ever won a playoff game in New Zealand, with this being the 13th such fixture in Super Rugby history.
- The Crusaders (19.8) are the only team in the competition to have missed fewer than 20 tackles per game in Super Rugby 2018.
- Jean-Luc du Preez has made 31 offloads so far this campaign, four more than any other player in the competition.
SUPERBRU: SA Rugby magazine team’s picks
Crusaders – 15 David Havili, 14 Seta Tamanivalu, 13 Jack Goodhue, 12 Ryan Crotty, 11 George Bridge, 10 Richie Mo’unga, 9 Bryn Hall, 8 Kieran Read, 7 Matt Todd, 6 Jordan Taufua, 5 Sam Whitelock (c), 4 Scott Barrett, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Codie Taylor, 1 Tim Perry.
Subs: 16 Andrew Makalio, 17 Wyatt Crockett, 18 Michael Alaalatoa, 19 Luke Romano, 20 Pete Samu, 21 Mitchell Drummond, 22 Mitchell Hunt, 23 Manasa Mataele.
Sharks – 15 Curwin Bosch, 14 Kobus van Wyk, 13 Lukhanyo Am, 12 Andre Esterhuizen, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Robert du Preez, 9 Louis Schreuder, 8 Daniel du Preez, 7 Jacques Vermeulen, 6 Philip van der Walt, 5 Ruan Botha (c), 4 Tyler Paul, 3 Thomas du Toit, 2 Akker van der Merwe, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Subs: 16 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 17 Juan Schoeman, 18 John-Hubert Meyer, 19 Hyron Andrews, 20 Wian Vosloo, 21 Cameron Wright, 22 Marius Louw, 23 Makazole Mapimpi.
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